Yes we have national elections in Turkey within 2 weeks ...
I will try to analyze the possible results from my perspective. These results don't show neither my political ideas nor show the actual results (which we will see in two weeks time).
I will try to analyze the possible results from my perspective. These results don't show neither my political ideas nor show the actual results (which we will see in two weeks time).
There are 5 main political parties right now with the possibility of entering to the parliament (that doesn't mean that I also believe so) according to the surveys and the media:
AKP (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi - Fair and Justice Party)
CHP (Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi - People Republic Party)
MHP (Milliyetci Hareket Partisi - Nationalist Movement Party)
DP (Demokrat Parti - Democratic Party)
GP (Genc Parti - Young Party)
AKP is the current ruling (governing) party and CHP is the main opposition party in the parliament. Of these political parties CHP is left and the others are right sided. MHP, DP and GP are loosely connected to the religion if compared to AKP. The current government (AKP) is achieved a lot in the sense of rights / regulations and also according to some views in the economical performance. But there are strong oppositions to their acts in rights / regulations point of view. The main argument is to "Pick-up from Europe and Apply here" logic. This argument states that AKP, for Turkey's accession to Euroepan Union, accepted and deployed some regulations which theoretically makes sense but in practice not applicable to Turkey. What makes the things worse is, without any adaptations, these regulations cause problems in Turkey. Economical view arguments involve that "the world economy is rising so Turkish economy is rising". This argument is based on the economical achievements of the countries at Turkey scale (such as Brasil, Mexico and Argentina).
AKP (Adalet ve Kalkinma Partisi - Fair and Justice Party)
CHP (Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi - People Republic Party)
MHP (Milliyetci Hareket Partisi - Nationalist Movement Party)
DP (Demokrat Parti - Democratic Party)
GP (Genc Parti - Young Party)
AKP is the current ruling (governing) party and CHP is the main opposition party in the parliament. Of these political parties CHP is left and the others are right sided. MHP, DP and GP are loosely connected to the religion if compared to AKP. The current government (AKP) is achieved a lot in the sense of rights / regulations and also according to some views in the economical performance. But there are strong oppositions to their acts in rights / regulations point of view. The main argument is to "Pick-up from Europe and Apply here" logic. This argument states that AKP, for Turkey's accession to Euroepan Union, accepted and deployed some regulations which theoretically makes sense but in practice not applicable to Turkey. What makes the things worse is, without any adaptations, these regulations cause problems in Turkey. Economical view arguments involve that "the world economy is rising so Turkish economy is rising". This argument is based on the economical achievements of the countries at Turkey scale (such as Brasil, Mexico and Argentina).
CHP earns points because of its possibility to enter to the parliament and the actions it followed during the presidential elections. But CHP loses points because of its president Deniz Baykal, especially internal reactions are the main concern.
MHP sits on top of nationalist ideas and earns points because of its support for PKK leader execution. Especially after the elections in France (Sarkozy with strong pronunciations against Turkey's accession to EU) and bad steps in EU process, MHP is one of the destinations for the voters as a reaction.
GP is strongly against AKP as its leader Cem Uzan and his holding has been ruined by the current government. GP also has similar political view to MHP.
DP has the following drawbacks: (Although everything has been cleared in courts) Its leader has some bad impressions in minds. Secondly, the failure of combination with another right side party (ANAP, Anavatan Partisi, Homeland Party) created a bad impression in minds.
There are also party independent candidates for the parliament and they are in a big number but as I can't analyze their ideas individually, I left them out of scope.
So after brief situation summary, here is my guess for the results (if anything extraordinary doesn't happen):
AKP --> %25-27
MHP --> %18-20
CHP --> %16-18
DP --> %9-12
GP --> %6-8
This is my opinion...
Another view is the vote percentage of AKP will increase to %37-40. And in another one AKP will be %22-24 and CHP will be around %20.
So that is all for now. We will see the results in two weeks.
So after brief situation summary, here is my guess for the results (if anything extraordinary doesn't happen):
AKP --> %25-27
MHP --> %18-20
CHP --> %16-18
DP --> %9-12
GP --> %6-8
This is my opinion...
Another view is the vote percentage of AKP will increase to %37-40. And in another one AKP will be %22-24 and CHP will be around %20.
So that is all for now. We will see the results in two weeks.
But there is a certain fact that Turkey is rising .....
